Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven82%
Draw12%
PEC Zwolle6%
Expected goals
2.91 – 0.75
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.2%
- 3–010.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
63%Possession45%
54%Territory28%
13%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.