Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven70%
Draw19%
PEC Zwolle11%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.73
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.1%
- 1–012.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.9%
- 1–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
56%Possession38%
51%Territory35%
39%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.