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Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

FC Utrecht

FCU

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Utrecht35%
Draw29%
SC Heerenveen36%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.23

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.1%
  • 0110.8%
  • 1010.7%
  • 0010.0%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.

43%Possession57%
32%Territory45%
9%From set plays24%
0.22Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.