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Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

FC Utrecht

FCU

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Utrecht33%
Draw29%
SC Heerenveen39%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.35

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Utrecht will have the ball; SC Heerenveen will not mind.

54%Possession46%
42%Territory31%
30%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.18
5.9%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.