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Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

Feyenoord

FEY

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord43%
Draw30%
FC Twente27%

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.97

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.8%
  • 1113.1%
  • 0011.7%
  • 0110.0%
  • 218.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

56%Possession61%
56%Territory53%
31%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 4 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.