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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard34%
Draw29%
Sparta Rotterdam37%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.30

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sparta Rotterdam will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

36%Possession45%
31%Territory37%
4%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.15
7.8%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.