Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fortuna Sittard31%
Draw29%
Sparta Rotterdam40%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.34
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sparta Rotterdam will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
33%Possession44%
28%Territory39%
39%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.19
6.2%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.