Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
FC Groningen
FCG
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen24%
Draw24%
Feyenoord51%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.81
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession55%
37%Territory44%
17%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.