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Eredivisie · Matchweek 16

FC Groningen

FCG

Feyenoord

FEY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Groningen24%
Draw24%
Feyenoord51%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.81

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–27.7%
  • 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession55%
37%Territory44%
17%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.