Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
FC Twente
FCT
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente62%
Draw24%
Sparta Rotterdam14%
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.76
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
61%Possession45%
53%Territory37%
20%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Twente, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.