Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
FC Twente
FCT
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente70%
Draw19%
Sparta Rotterdam11%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.80
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
64%Possession44%
54%Territory39%
40%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.19
3.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.