Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen45%
Draw27%
Go Ahead Eagles27%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.12
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.3%
- 0–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession52%
45%Territory39%
24%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.