Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen52%
Draw26%
Go Ahead Eagles22%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
31%Territory34%
7%From set plays16%
0.18Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.