Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
FC Utrecht
FCU
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht50%
Draw28%
Fortuna Sittard22%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.89
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–09.7%
- 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
54%Possession33%
42%Territory28%
30%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.