Skip to content

Eredivisie · Matchweek 16

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PSV Eindhoven70%
Draw18%
Telstar11%

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.81

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.0%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 3–08.6%
  • 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

56%Possession47%
51%Territory45%
39%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.