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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 16

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PSV Eindhoven73%
Draw17%
Telstar10%

Expected goals

2.43 – 0.83

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–09.0%
  • 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

63%Possession40%
54%Territory35%
13%From set plays33%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 4 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.