Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
Willem II
WIL
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II35%
Draw29%
ADO Den Haag36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.30
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
44%Possession57%
33%Territory38%
11%From set plays11%
0.18Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Willem II, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.