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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam35%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen37%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.40

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.

45%Possession61%
37%Territory42%
27%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sparta Rotterdam, 4 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.