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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam32%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen41%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.45

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.

44%Possession65%
39%Territory58%
7%From set plays39%
0.19Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sparta Rotterdam, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.