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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

PEC Zwolle

PEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard47%
Draw27%
PEC Zwolle26%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.08

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.4%
  • 2–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PEC Zwolle will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

36%Possession45%
31%Territory28%
4%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.