Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fortuna Sittard37%
Draw31%
PEC Zwolle32%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.07
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–012.3%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
33%Possession38%
28%Territory35%
39%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.