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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles25%
Draw27%
FC Twente48%

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.51

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 0–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; Go Ahead Eagles will not mind.

52%Possession61%
39%Territory53%
21%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 4 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.