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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Telstar

TEL

FC Groningen

FCG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar34%
Draw29%
FC Groningen37%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.26

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Groningen will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

40%Possession51%
35%Territory45%
33%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.