Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Telstar
TEL
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar34%
Draw26%
FC Groningen40%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession50%
45%Territory37%
34%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.14
7.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.