Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag50%
Draw27%
Excelsior23%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.99
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
57%Possession42%
38%Territory32%
11%From set plays45%
0.08Chance quality0.14
7.6%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.