Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Willem II
WIL
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II11%
Draw18%
Feyenoord70%
Expected goals
0.85 – 2.29
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.5%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–38.4%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Feyenoord will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
44%Possession55%
33%Territory44%
11%From set plays22%
0.18Chance quality0.16
8.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Willem II, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.