Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Willem II
WIL
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II13%
Draw21%
Feyenoord66%
Expected goals
0.79 – 2.00
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.8%
- 0–212.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Feyenoord will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
40%Possession56%
35%Territory56%
7%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Willem II, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.