Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Ajax
AJA
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax59%
Draw23%
FC Utrecht18%
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.99
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–010.0%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.
62%Possession43%
59%Territory32%
20%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.22
3.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ajax, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.