Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
ADO Den Haag
ADO
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag31%
Draw30%
FC Utrecht39%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.27
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession54%
38%Territory42%
11%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.