Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
ADO Den Haag
ADO
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag28%
Draw29%
FC Utrecht43%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.35
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
36%Territory32%
22%From set plays9%
0.04Chance quality0.22
6.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.