Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven66%
Draw21%
Go Ahead Eagles13%
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.83
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 2–011.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession52%
51%Territory34%
39%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.