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Eredivisie · Matchweek 14

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PSV Eindhoven68%
Draw18%
Go Ahead Eagles13%

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.03

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.6%
  • 209.4%
  • 108.3%
  • 118.0%
  • 317.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Go Ahead Eagles will not mind.

63%Possession52%
54%Territory39%
13%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.