Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen27%
Draw28%
FC Twente45%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.46
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession61%
42%Territory53%
17%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 4 for FC Twente.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.