Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
FC Groningen
FCG
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen65%
Draw20%
Willem II15%
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.01
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession44%
37%Territory33%
17%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.18
6.8%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.