Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
FC Groningen
FCG
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen56%
Draw24%
Willem II19%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Groningen will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
51%Possession40%
45%Territory35%
13%From set plays7%
0.07Chance quality0.13
6.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 4 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.