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Eredivisie · Matchweek 14

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard24%
Draw28%
SC Heerenveen48%

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.46

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.3%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

33%Possession46%
28%Territory31%
39%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.18
6.2%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.