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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 14

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard27%
Draw29%
SC Heerenveen44%

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.39

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

36%Possession57%
31%Territory45%
4%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.