Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
PEC Zwolle
PEC
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle18%
Draw24%
AZ Alkmaar58%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.81
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
45%Possession58%
28%Territory55%
24%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.