Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
PEC Zwolle
PEC
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle25%
Draw29%
AZ Alkmaar47%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.42
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.4%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
38%Possession56%
35%Territory47%
37%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.