Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
FC Twente
FCT
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente72%
Draw19%
Willem II9%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.66
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.0%
- 1–013.7%
- 3–09.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
61%Possession40%
53%Territory35%
20%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Twente, 4 for Willem II.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.