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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

FC Twente

FCT

Willem II

WIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Twente84%
Draw12%
Willem II5%

Expected goals

2.83 – 0.61

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.2%
  • 3–012.1%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 4–08.4%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.

64%Possession44%
54%Territory33%
40%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.18
3.8%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.