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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

AZ Alkmaar

AZA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam31%
Draw28%
AZ Alkmaar41%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.41

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.

44%Possession56%
39%Territory47%
7%From set plays30%
0.19Chance quality0.15
6.4%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sparta Rotterdam, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

AZ Alkmaar

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.