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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles54%
Draw25%
Fortuna Sittard21%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.06

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

52%Possession36%
39%Territory31%
21%From set plays4%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.