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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles50%
Draw28%
Fortuna Sittard23%

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.93

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.8%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

52%Possession33%
34%Territory28%
16%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.