Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
FC Groningen
FCG
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen37%
Draw27%
SC Heerenveen37%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.47
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
37%Territory31%
17%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.18
6.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.