Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
FC Groningen
FCG
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen37%
Draw30%
SC Heerenveen34%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.19
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession57%
45%Territory45%
13%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.