Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
Telstar
TEL
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar50%
Draw27%
PEC Zwolle23%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.99
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession45%
35%Territory28%
33%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Telstar
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.