Club Football Intelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Sat, 21 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Telstar

TEL

20:00 UTC

PEC Zwolle

PEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar43%

Draw28%

PEC Zwolle29%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.13

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–112.6%
1–011.5%
2–18.9%
0–08.9%
0–18.8%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Telstar will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.

47%Possession38%

45%Territory35%

34%From set plays37%

0.10Chance quality0.10

7.4%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Telstar

Tyrone OwusuMF3G 1A 1.33/90
Noach ShenkmanMF1G 1A 1.05/90
Patrick BrouwerMF1G 1A 1.00/90

PEC Zwolle

Thijs OostingMF2G 1A 1.29/90
Dylan MbayoFW1G 1A 0.95/90
Damian van der HaarDF0G 1A 0.40/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.