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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Feyenoord

FEY

Excelsior

EXC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord63%
Draw23%
Excelsior14%

Expected goals

1.81 – 0.75

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1014.6%
  • 2012.5%
  • 1110.3%
  • 219.6%
  • 008.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Feyenoord will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.

56%Possession43%
56%Territory40%
31%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 4 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.