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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Feyenoord

FEY

Excelsior

EXC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord81%
Draw13%
Excelsior6%

Expected goals

2.70 – 0.65

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.1%
  • 3–011.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Feyenoord will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.

55%Possession42%
44%Territory32%
22%From set plays45%
0.16Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.