Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen30%
Draw28%
PSV Eindhoven41%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.40
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.1%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; PSV Eindhoven will not mind.
65%Possession56%
58%Territory51%
39%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.