Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen24%
Draw23%
PSV Eindhoven53%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.96
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession63%
42%Territory54%
17%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.15
3.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.