Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
Ajax
AJA
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax62%
Draw23%
ADO Den Haag15%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.85
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession57%
39%Territory38%
29%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ajax, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.