Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
Ajax
AJA
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax70%
Draw19%
ADO Den Haag11%
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.72
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.1%
- 1–012.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.9%
- 1–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; ADO Den Haag will not mind.
62%Possession43%
59%Territory36%
20%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.04
3.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ajax, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.