Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
FC Twente
FCT
Ajax
AJA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente61%
Draw23%
Ajax16%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.89
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Ajax will not mind.
64%Possession52%
54%Territory39%
40%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for Ajax. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.