Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
Willem II
WIL
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II44%
Draw27%
PEC Zwolle29%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.16
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PEC Zwolle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession45%
35%Territory28%
7%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Willem II, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.