Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
Willem II
WIL
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II32%
Draw28%
PEC Zwolle39%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.35
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PEC Zwolle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession38%
33%Territory35%
11%From set plays37%
0.18Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Willem II, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.