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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard36%
Draw30%
Telstar34%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.19

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Telstar will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

33%Possession47%
28%Territory45%
39%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.