Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
Excelsior
EXC
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior40%
Draw28%
Go Ahead Eagles32%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
43%Possession52%
40%Territory39%
30%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
8.2%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Excelsior, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.