Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
Excelsior
EXC
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior25%
Draw27%
Go Ahead Eagles48%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.54
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.4%
- 0–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
42%Possession52%
32%Territory34%
45%From set plays16%
0.14Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Excelsior, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.