Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag31%
Draw28%
Sparta Rotterdam41%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.44
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
57%Possession44%
38%Territory39%
11%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.19
7.6%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.