Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen25%
Draw29%
Feyenoord47%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.41
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession56%
45%Territory56%
24%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.