Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
FC Utrecht
FCU
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht31%
Draw29%
NEC Nijmegen40%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.33
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.
54%Possession65%
42%Territory58%
30%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.