Eredivisie · Matchweek 12
FC Utrecht
FCU
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht37%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen36%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.38
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.
43%Possession61%
32%Territory42%
9%From set plays17%
0.22Chance quality0.14
6.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 4 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.