Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
Excelsior
EXC
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior23%
Draw29%
FC Twente47%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.35
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.7%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–29.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
43%Possession61%
40%Territory53%
30%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.12
8.2%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Excelsior, 4 for FC Twente.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.