Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven80%
Draw13%
Willem II7%
Expected goals
2.86 – 0.79
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.9%
- 3–010.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
63%Possession40%
54%Territory35%
13%From set plays7%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 4 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.