Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
PEC Zwolle
PEC
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle40%
Draw30%
ADO Den Haag30%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.09
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession43%
28%Territory36%
24%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.04
5.0%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.