Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
Telstar
TEL
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar36%
Draw29%
FC Utrecht35%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.23
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession43%
35%Territory32%
33%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.22
7.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Telstar
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.