Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
FC Groningen
FCG
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen45%
Draw28%
Sparta Rotterdam27%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.12
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession45%
45%Territory37%
13%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.3%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.