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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

Feyenoord

FEY

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord73%
Draw18%
Fortuna Sittard9%

Expected goals

2.22 – 0.68

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2013.6%
  • 1012.8%
  • 309.7%
  • 219.2%
  • 118.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Feyenoord will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

56%Possession36%
56%Territory31%
31%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.