Eredivisie · Matchweek 10
FC Utrecht
FCU
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht56%
Draw24%
PEC Zwolle19%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
32%Territory28%
9%From set plays24%
0.22Chance quality0.11
6.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.