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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles50%
Draw26%
Telstar24%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.08

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

52%Possession40%
39%Territory35%
21%From set plays33%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 4 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.