Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
ADO Den Haag
ADO
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag11%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven70%
Expected goals
0.82 – 2.24
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.8%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–38.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; ADO Den Haag will not mind.
43%Possession63%
36%Territory54%
22%From set plays13%
0.04Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.