Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle26%
Draw26%
Go Ahead Eagles48%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.63
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession52%
28%Territory39%
24%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.0%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.