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Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

FC Twente

FCT

FC Utrecht

FCU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Twente61%
Draw24%
FC Utrecht15%

Expected goals

1.76 – 0.79

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1014.3%
  • 2011.9%
  • 1110.8%
  • 219.6%
  • 008.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.

61%Possession43%
53%Territory32%
20%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.22
4.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Twente, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.