Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen45%
Draw29%
Excelsior26%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.97
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
57%Possession43%
45%Territory40%
24%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 4 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.